What Does Congress Victory in Karnataka Signify?

224-member Karnataka assembly, where Congress is cruising to a comfortable majority, resentment against the B.S. Bommai administration has reached a raging level.With more than 135 seats, Congress has unmistakably emerged as the lone force representing the need for change that numerous ground reports had indicated in the run-up to the election.Karnataka has not chosen an incumbent government to rule for 38 years. The party’s morale will undoubtedly be boosted by the victory  before the eagerly anticipated general elections in 2024. However, what does this victory mean for the Congress party and what does the BJP’s defeat mean?

Current Scenario

At this point in the Karnataka state assembly elections, the Congress has a comfortable lead. In the 224-member assembly seats in the state, Congress is currently leading in 136 constituencies, BJP in 65, and the JDS in 19, with the others securing 4 seats, according to the most recent data released by the Election Commission of India as of 9:30 p.m.

The outcome of the election clearly demonstrates that voters want to see their quality of life improve, and the BJP hasn’t been able to carry out all of the plans that Prime Minister Narendra Modi had for India or at the local level. Due to a variety of factors, including limited funding for campaigning, we also observe a shift in support from the JDS to the Congress. With reports of significant expenditures by each party, money has been a key factor in this election.The Congress’s victory in Karnataka comes at a critical time after its leader Rahul Gandhi was found guilty in a defamation case and disqualified from serving in the Lok Sabha.The party had additionally pledged in its election platform that it would forbid Bajrang Dal from operating. The party was criticised by the BJP and its supporters for placing the Bajrang Dal in with the Popular Front of India (PFI). Prime Minister Narendra Modi claimed that Congress had insulted the followers of Bajrang Bali by equating Bajrang Dal with Bajrang Bali during one of his election campaigns in the state. Numerous people also predicted that the Congress’ electoral chances would be impacted by such efforts to oppose the Bajrang Dal.The party, however, was unaffected by this and will go on to use the Karnataka victory to defend its stance against the Bajrang Dal and right-wing extremism in the future. Political analysts believe that this may further empower the Congress to challenge the BJP’s polarising politics before the 2024 elections.

Modi’s popularity did not, however, suffice to counteract accusations of corruption against the BJP state government, frustrations over rising inflation, and a lack of job creation outside the city’s thriving capital, Bengaluru. This was in spite of a high-octane campaign in which the BJP held more than 9,000 rallies. It was also observed that the dominant Lingayat caste in the state, which had previously been a significant portion of the BJP’s support base, was withdrawing its backing.

With only three other states under its control and an otherwise dismal track record of winning state elections since Modi came to power in 2014, the outcome was a significant victory for Congress.

How will it hurt the BJP?

Except in the coastal regions of the state, where right-wing Hindu nationalist elements had been particularly proactive under their recent government, the BJP’s attempts to use religious polarisation to mobilise the Hindu majority failed to have the same kind of wide-ranging success as they did in north India.The BJP has lost its last stronghold in the south with the loss in Karnataka. The BJP campaign focused primarily on the party’s accomplishments at the federal level.The BJP is also blamed for failing to appeal to the state’s women voters with a fancy manifesto, in contrast to the Congress, which made a number of promises

Despite the BJP’s dwindling support, local reports indicate that the prime minister’s popularity is still holding strong. However, the opposition parties’ adamant attempts to band together could still cause problems for the BJP.Think about this Even though the BJP has prided itself on being a cadre-driven, disciplined organisation, it still had to deal with electoral defeats in the states where J.P. Nadda, the party’s president, and B.L. Santhosh, the organization’s national general secretary and officially the party’s number four in command, who held the reins in Karnataka.In states like Uttar Pradesh and Haryana, the BJP has used this social engineering strategy with some degree of success. However, it might have simply backfired in Karnataka. BJP will surely get a moral downfall after this defeat but as they made a strong comeback at 2019 after defeat in three big states like Madhya Pradesh,Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan ,it is expected that they will find away the faults and will be prepared strongly for the next Big elections in the Hindi Heartland of Madhya Pradesh Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh in the end of 2023.


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