Can KKR still qualify for the playoffs?


Kolkata Knight Riders had a brilliant start to this year’s IPL season but their form fell midway. The 2 times champs currently find themselves at the 9th position in the table, with 3 games in hand. Although they are virtually out of contention for the playoffs, still a question still remains – can KKR qualify? Well, Team Analystique is here to answer.

Through a complex process of results and mathematics, an outline chance still remains for the Shahrukh Khan Franchise to qualify for the knockouts. This includes KKR winning all their remaining matches and favourable results elsewhere. Let us dive deep and see what path can lead KKR to the semis.

Present Situation

As mentioned earlier, the Kolkata Knight Riders sit 9th in the table, behind CSK on NRR. They face bottom-placed Mumbai Indians tonight at the DY Patil Stadium. A defeat in the hands of Mumbai will guarantee the exit for Brendon McCullum’s men. However, a win over the record titleholders will keep a slim chance for the men in purple to proceed, subject to results elsewhere. Lucknow Super Giants currently leads the table, ahead of fellow new entrants Gujarat Titans on net run rate. The IPL Table looks as follows:kkr

Permutations and Combinations

As mentioned earlier, the biggest factor in KKR’s qualification will result from elsewhere. First, they need to make sure that they themselves win their remaining matches. Those matches are scheduled against Mumbai Indians, Sunrisers Hyderabad and Lucknow Super Giants. If they manage to win, they will finish on 14 points, tied with RCB and RR. This implies, that either one of them also has to lose their remaining matches to make the event possible. RCB’s case will be more favourable, as they have a negative net run rate. Now, let’s get into finer details.

A total of 15 matches remain in the league stage of the IPL. We mention each one of them with the favourable result for KKR and list them below:

  1. Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders – KKR Win
  2. Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans – Any result favourable for KKR
  3. Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals – RR Win
  4. Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians – Any result is favourable, MI Win gives a better chance
  5. Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Punjab Kings – PK Win
  6. Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad – KKR Win
  7. Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans – Any result favourable, GT Win gives a better chance
  8. Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals – Any result favourable
  9. Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals – DC Win
  10. Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad – MI Win
  11. Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants – KKR Win
  12. Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans – GT Win
  13. Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings – Any result favourable
  14. Mumbai Indians vs Delhi Capitals – MI Win
  15. Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings – SRH Win

If these results follow, then both KKR and RCB will finish on 14 points. Then it will come down to NRR. If KKR manages to win by a considerable margin, then they can proceed to the playoffs.

Is it possible?

Well, no. Practically speaking, getting so many results on point is something close to impossible and then further the game of net run rate comes in. Although theoretically, it might seem possible, the probability of getting the results in line is 0.15% Hence, KKR is virtually out of contention for the playoffs this season.

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